WardLab has a blog now at www.predictiveheuristics.com. Check out the first set of posts there, including a GDELT and ICEWS event data comparison, and details of the recently-published paper on opposition network games and protest in Thailand. We will try to add new posts every week or two.
Nils and I have a piece on foreignpolicy.com about Billy Beane and World Politics. http://bit.ly/T5PQur
Basic premise is that we should be trying to predict world politics, not just "explain" it. And there is ample evidence that we can actually do better than you might think.