<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><xml><records><record><source-app name="Biblio" version="7.x">Drupal-Biblio</source-app><ref-type>17</ref-type><contributors><authors><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Kristian Skrede Gleditsch</style></author><author><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Michael D. Ward</style></author></authors></contributors><titles><title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Forecasting is difficult, especially about the future: Using contentious issues to forecast interstate disputes</style></title><secondary-title><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">Journal of Peace Research</style></secondary-title></titles><keywords><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">international conflict</style></keyword><keyword><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">prediction</style></keyword></keywords><dates><year><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">2013</style></year><pub-dates><date><style  face="normal" font="default" size="100%">06/2013</style></date></pub-dates></dates><pages><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">1-15</style></pages><language><style face="normal" font="default" size="100%">eng</style></language></record></records></xml>